On MSNBC’s Daily Rundown yesterday, Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Political Report and David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report discussed the difficulty Washington Democrats face in retaking the House and making Nancy Pelosi speaker again.
As Nathan Gonzales noted, “I think that even though there are both Democrats and Republicans retiring, I think they’re not always created equal. If you look at the most recent retirements in California, I think you could make the case that it helped Republicans. It avoided a member versus member primary there….On the other side, look at Heath Shuler in North Carolina, that was Democrats’ best chance of holding that seat. Now that he is retiring that is basically a Republican seat and that’s going to make it difficult to make up in the larger battle for the house.”
A recent Cook Report column points out the steep climb Washington Democrats face:
“[T]hanks to redistricting and retirements, Democrats enter 2012 with far more ‘liability’ seats of their own than they had in 2006 and 2008 or than Republicans had in 2010…Add it all up, and Democrats actually need to pick up roughly 35 to 40 GOP-held or newly created districts in order to claw back to 218 seats….
“[A] more daunting problem for Democrats is one largely outside the DCCC's control: terrain. At this point in 2010, Democrats were tremendously exposed: they held 72 seats with a Republican lean, according to the Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index. But thanks to redistricting…there are now only 15 Republicans sitting in districts with a Democratic lean.”
One thing is clear: House Democrats will not be able to run away from their records in support of President Obama’s destructive policies that have made a bad economy even worse.